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Journal of Scientific Information Research

Keywords

new quality fighting capacity; foundation model; innovation of national defense-related science and technology; forecasting innovation pathways

Abstract

[Purpose/significance]The innovation of national defense-related science and technology promoting the development of new-quality fighting capacity has become a national strategic demand, effectively forecasting innovation pathways in national defense-related science and technology is of great significance to improve the innovation capability of national defense-related science and technology and create the Chinese new quality fighting capacity. [Method/process] In view of characteristics of the innovation of national defense-related science and technology, i.e. mutability, uncertainty and high risk, this thesis constructs a logical framework of forecasting innovation pathway in national defense-related science and technology based on the theoretical analysis of the core elements of forecasting innovation path, and adopts three submodels i.e. identification of military needs, prediction of key technologies and mining of supportive policies to forecast innovation pathway in national defense-related science and technology. [Result/conclusion]The research results show that the foundation model can effectively predict the development trend of national defense-related science and technology and key technological break throughs, which provide scientific basis for the decision-making of innovation of national defense-related science and technology and effectively promote the integration of the new quality productivity and the new quality fighting capacity.

First Page

86

Last Page

94

Submission Date

17-Jun-2024

Revision Date

26-Sep-2024

Acceptance Date

08-Oct-2024

Published Date

01-Jan-2025

Reference

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Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.19809/j.cnki.kjqbyj.2025.01.008

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